Overreaction: By sitting out much of the offseason while waiting to pay Dak Prescott for an expensive walk year, they sacrificed too much elsewhere.

Why: This was a 12-win team featuring the MVP runner-up and the best scoring margin in the NFC last year, and the Cowboys didn’t lose much of significance in free agency. Not signing Prescott to an extension might feel like a half-measure, but the all-in approach could still work for a team that was already good enough to contend.

Overreaction: With more weapons, Daniel Jones and the offense can finally put it together in 2024.

Why: Nothing is assured with No. 6 overall pick Malik Nabers out of the gate, Allen Robinson is likely washed up, and the Giants will miss Saquon Barkley. They still don’t have nearly enough talent in place to compensate for Jones’ shortcomings as a passer.

Overreaction: They needed to shake things up more on offense after a disappointing run to end the season from Jalen Hurts and Co.

Why: Offense was never the Eagles’ main problem last year, and Hurts, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith have earned more rope. Besides, they at least brought in Kellen Moore to run the offense under Nick Sirianni, and they’ve added Barkley and a handful of rookies to the mix. The Eagles’ offense will be just fine.

Overreaction: Dan Quinn is an uninspiring retread who won’t get the Commanders back on track.

Why: An epic Super Bowl choke stands out from Quinn’s tenure with the Atlanta Falcons, but that frankly had as much to do with Kyle Shanahan as it did with Quinn. Prior to that, he made an impressive mark in Atlanta. He’s also a defensive mastermind who could be a hit in his second head-coaching gig.