Fantasy Football WR Report: Man, zone coverage performance ahead of NFL Week 4

Posted by Admin September 26, 2024 Football

• Drake London should continue to produce in a favorable matchup: London has been among the most efficient wide receivers against man coverage and draws an ideal matchup in Week 4 against the New Orleans Saints.

• The Houston Texans‘ wide receivers have had split success against man coverage: Nico Collins has excelled against man, while Tank Dell has been quiet. They face the most man-heavy defense in the league this week, so fantasy managers should expect more of the same from these two.

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Arizona Cardinals

Week 4 opponent: Washington Commanders

Man coverage rate: 23.2% (20)
Zone coverage rate: 71.3% (14)

Versus man

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Target rate	PPR points	FF PTS/RR
Chris Moore	1	0	0	0.0%	0.0	0.00
Greg Dortch	15	1	8	33.3%	1.8	0.12
Michael Wilson	21	1	3	9.5%	1.3	0.06
Marvin Harrison Jr.	21	3	40	28.6%	13.0	0.62

Versus zone

Player	Routes run	Receptions	Receiving yards	Target rate	PPR points	FF PTS/RR
Chris Moore	3	0	0	0.0%	0.0	0.00
Zach Pascal	2	0	0	0.0%	0.0	0.00
Greg Dortch	52	10	85	21.2%	18.5	0.36
Michael Wilson	67	10	97	16.4%	25.7	0.38
Marvin Harrison Jr.	74	7	158	20.3%	34.8	0.47

The Commanders have run a slightly above-average rate of zone coverage while ranking among the 10 worst teams in defensive success rate (41.3%) from zone. They are also among the five worst zone defenses in explosive play rate allowed (17.5%) and first down-plus-touchdown rate allowed (40.0%).

Week 4 waiver wire target Michael Wilson has been much better against zone coverage this season, to the point where he has seen just one reception against man compared to 10 versus zone, accounting for 95% of his total fantasy production this season. He should be in a nice spot to produce against the Commanders’ defense, especially if Trey McBride (concussion) is unable to go for Week 4.

Click here for even more insight into receiver performance against man and zone coverages