Job openings rose more than economists expected in November, but other signs of cooling in the labor market have persisted as fewer Americans left their jobs and hiring continued to slow.
On Tuesday, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed 5.27 million hires were made during the month, down from the 5.39 million made during October. The hiring rate fell to 3.3% from the 3.4% seen in October. Also in Tuesday’s report, the quits rate, a sign of confidence among workers, fell to 1.9% from 2.1% in October.
Both the quits rate and hiring rate are now lower than they were before pandemic. Oxford Economics lead US economist Nancy Vanden Houten described Tuesday’s release as consistent with a “no hire, no fire” labor market.
Largely, this is seen as an OK scenario for the Federal Reserve’s maximum employment mandate, as long as conditions don’t worsen. In December, Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the labor market as “looser than pre-pandemic” but also noted that, for now, the labor market is cooling in a “gradual and orderly way.”
The key question remains whether things can stay in this state if the Fed holds interest rates steady over the next several months or if more softness emerges, prompting a rate move from the central bank.
“We don’t think we need further cooling in the labor market to get inflation down to 2%,” Powell said.